The far-right nationalist reform British party will become the UK’s biggest political party if the general election is held now. The major new poll places founder Nigel Farage in a potential course to become the country’s next prime minister.
The reforms won 271 of the 650 seats in the House, with the ruling Labour taking second place with 178 seats, voting company Yougov said on June 26.
Kiel’s Prime Minister Starmer’s popularity has been fighting for a challenging global backdrop, slow economic growth and a series of embarrassing policy U-turns on welfare reform since his victory in the landslide general election last year.
Last week’s census was Yougov’s first “megapore” since labor came to power. Not only does it show a rapid rise in the popularity of reform and a reversal of favor for labor, it also shows the collapse of support for the previous ruling Conservative Party.
The Conservative Party, which suffered the worst general election loss in the general election last July, won just 46 seats in the election, falling from 120, bringing the party to fourth place behind the Liberal Democrats, Yegov said.
Meanwhile, the Greens won 11% of the vote, picking up a few new seats and holding seven new seats perfectly. In Scotland, the SNP returned to control, winning 29 seats and 38 overall.
The next election is not expected until 2029.
Why did reforms soar in popularity?
Founded in 2018 as the Brexit Party, it defended the hard “no-deal Brexit,” a UK withdrawal from the European Union, and emerged as a group that could seriously challenge the century-long domination of major UK political parties in the early days as a No. 1 Party, interested only in immigration.
On his part, Farage states that the political transformation of reform has been completed. The party has an office in Westminster, near the parliamentary home, attracting attention from new voters and wealthy donors.
To broaden its appeal, reforms sought to dismiss members accused of racism and bullying, and to alienate the party from far-right movements in other European countries, such as state rallies in France and German alternatives.
The reform warned that net zero environmental policies are “crippled,” according to its latest party manifesto. [British] economy”. It has pledged to “scrap” green energy subsidies and quickly track oil and gas licenses in the North Sea.
However, the main pledge remains focused on immigrants. The reforms have pledged to stop small boats carrying undocumented immigrants and refugees, crossing the English Channel, and to freeze “non-essential” immigrants. According to a survey by YouGov, most Britons now overwhelmingly believe that immigrants are too expensive.
In by-elections, votes held to fill vacancy in the House of Representatives that occur during the general election – in May, reform narrowly defeated labor in the Runcorn and Helsby seat in northwestern England, securing a string of victories over rural British counties.
Why did the Conservatives lose popularity?
Partly because many of its members have fled to reform.
Reuters survey found that since last year’s general election defeat against conservatives after 14 years of power, reforms have poached at least 80 former candidates, donors and staff from the traditional right-wing party, since punishing conservative defeats 14 years later.
One was Anne Marie Morris. He was rebuked in 2017 by then Prime Minister Theresa May for using mildly racist terms in his discussions about Brexit. She is currently heading the reform social care policy. Other well-known conservatives who died due to reform include Anne Widdecom, Lee Anderson, Ross Thomson, Andrea Jenkins and Marco Longi.
Tory loyalists are paying attention. Lord Hushen, the conservative mayor of Tea Valley, recently told the BBC that his party would need to form a coalition with reform in the next general election if he wanted to keep labour away from the government.
However, Conservative leader Kemi Badenok has ruled out the coalition with the Farage party at the national level, claiming that reforms were trying to destroy the Tories. A YouGov poll conducted in April showed that only 38% of conservatives support the merger with reforms.
Why are people dissatisfied with labor shortly after an election victory?
In addition to the recent victory of reform, Farage has been supported by the challenging political and economic landscapes passed down by labour from the Conservative Party. The priorities are addressing a low-growth economy with significant financial constraints. This is a deficit of nearly 5% of gross domestic product and a debt ratio of nearly 100%. He is also charged with failing National Health Service (NHS) rescue.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump overturned decades of global trade policy on April 2 (the date he calls “Liberation Day”) when he announced the sweeping fees for US trading partners, including the UK. Trump later suspended those duties for 90 days, but the deadline is expected to disappear next week.
The UK has since secured its first trade agreement with the US, but maintains a 10% tariff on most UK exports. Other countries will need to attack similar transactions until next week. Trump’s Stop Starting Tariff War is slowing global growth.
But before Trump took office, Labour had already held its investment plans. As a result of Prime Minister Rachel Reeves’ voluntary fiscal rules, the Treasury had been considering spending cuts before its latest budget announcement in March.
Priority announced welfare reforms, including tightening individuals’ eligibility for independent payment eligibility (PIP) (benefits of disability and illness), bringing people back to work, saving £5 billion to 6 billion ($6.8 billion to $8.2 billion) a year.
But on July 1, he was dramatically watered down by the UK’s controversial welfare reform bill, leaving a multi-billion pound hole and a traumatized public image in the UK’s finances in an attempt to avoid a full-scale labor rebellion in the House of Representatives.
It announced on June 9 that, in addition to another policy U-turn, the government reversed allegations that it would scrap winter fuel benefits for millions of pensioners following widespread criticism, including its own councillors.
After weeks of conflict, former Shadow Treasury Secretary John McDonnell recently wrote in the Guardian that “this dysfunction and division cannot escape voter anger in the next election.”
Will reforms really take power in the UK in general elections?
The surge in British polls stems from deep disillusionment with mainstream UK political parties that have shared power for more than a century, experts say.
However, the lack of detailed policy leaves question marks on reform’s governing capabilities. For example, the party’s manifesto argues that “we will drive illegal immigrants out of the boat and bring them back to France.” But it does not explain how France persuades them to accept them.
Tony Travers, a professor in the government department of London’s Faculty of Economics, said he “don’t know” the effectiveness of these policies.
“On the one hand, these ideas rely on the consent of the French authorities, and on the other hand, they also acknowledge that immigration is necessary,” Travers told Al Jazeera, referring to a proposal for reform that would make concessions for healthcare workers in the ban on “non-essential” immigration.
“Until recently [May]reform had a major advantage of not taking office. From now on, they will be judged as to how they did it in the government,” he said.
“It’s much easier to oppose it than the government,” he added, “the nightmare challenges faced by Kiel Stort, should not be gone.”
“If reforms win the next general election, they will need to try to fix the sick NHS, railways, prisons and education systems all.
Ultimately, Travers said that the ongoing performance in UK polls depends on the ability of workers to tackle these issues.
